Prediction Markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Gadi Eizenkot

Benjamin Netanyahu

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%

Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%

Next French presidential election winner?

Marine Le Pen

Édouard Philippe

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Chiang Wan-an

Shen Bo-yang

Espírito Santo Governor winner?

Lorenzo Pazolini

Ricardo Ferraço

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout

At least 123,000,000

At least 125,000,000

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Amapá

Amazonas

Tocantins Governor winner?

Professora Dorinha

Vicentinho Júnior

Toronto mayoral election winner?

Olivia Chow

Brad Bradford

Next President of Kosovo?

Justina Pula

Arianit Koci

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Delcy Rodríguez

Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Colombia

Uruguay

Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Pedro Sánchez

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3%

Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes?

Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent

At least 36%

At least 37%

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent

At least 51%

At least 53%

Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Magdalena Andersson

Ulf Kristersson

Who will be a part of the next government of Spain?

Vox

EH Bildu

Spanish general election winner?

People's Party

Spanish Socialist Workers' Party

Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?

Chris Thomas

Alfred Cannan

Kaohsiung mayoral election winner?

Lai Jui-lung

Ko Chih-en

New Taipei mayoral election winner?

Lee Shu-chuan

Su Chiao-hui

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent

At least 48%

At least 49%

Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

Gadi Eisenkot

Naftali Bennett

Amazonas Governor winner?

Omar Aziz

Professora Maria do Carmo

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory

Lula da Silva, ≥1%

Lula da Silva, ≥7%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Kemi Badenoch

Nigel Farage

Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly?

Argentina presidential election: first round winner?

Javier Milei

Sergio Massa

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?

Delia Velculescu

Sorin Grindeanu

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