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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$12,821,596 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before August
Before November
$9,785,930 vol
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$4,091,179 vol
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in May 2026?
1
2
$1,178,515 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (5/17-5/23)
100-119
120-139
$249,815 vol
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)
$145,590 vol
Who will visit New York City before June 2026?
Donald Trump
Elon Musk
$280,653 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)
Above 40
Above 30
$230,728 vol
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
Aaron Lukas
Devin Nunes
$156,030 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Howard Lutnick
Lee Zeldin
$6,352,708 vol
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
$2,129,403 vol
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Todd Blanche
Lee Zeldin
$14,608,221 vol
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
$1,252,340 vol
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
Before Jun 14, 2026
Before Jun 6, 2026
$948,391 vol
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$2,425,160 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$10,031,801 vol
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?
Between 10% and 19.99%
Below 10%
$187,304 vol
Keir Starmer departure announced?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$3,591,566 vol
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
$29,689 vol
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$3,468,970 vol
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
Cuba
Venezuela
$2,420,441 vol
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Howard Lutnick
Pete Hegseth
$47,946 vol
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
Before July
$5,264,692 vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$79,031 vol
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (5/17 - 5/23)
$37,093 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$503,035 vol
Trump's approval rating on May 29, 2026?
39.6 to 39.8
39.9 to 40.1
$27,716 vol
Will Trump do anything this week? (5/17-5/23)
At least 1
At least 10
$63,319 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$6,763,259 vol
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
Before 2027
Before September 2026
$284,638 vol
Who will visit Iran before July?
Any U.S. House member
Jared Kushner
$1,066,668 vol
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
Japan
Israel
$762,136 vol