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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$38,630,545 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before 2027
Before December
$9,940,426 vol
Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?
$2,090,439 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
Above 150
Above 175
$161,894 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?
$1,291,647 vol
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Andrew Oldham
James Ho
$1,208,853 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$14,427,623 vol
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
40.2 to 40.4
40.5 to 40.7
$192,301 vol
Donald Trump: World Cup matches attended
At least 1
At least 2
$556,972 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (7/5-7/11)
>220
200-220
$519,448 vol
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2026
$1,945,850 vol
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
$1,934,290 vol
Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law?
Before Jul 16, 2026
Before Jul 7, 2026
No
$659,573 vol
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Todd Blanche
Lee Zeldin
$18,592,858 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Amy Gleason
Kash Patel
$6,944,696 vol
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$3,630,060 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
At least 50
At least 60
$106,685 vol
Which bills will become law in 2026?
ADS-B revenue-use restriction
DEFIANCE Act
$1,285,298 vol
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
$1,318,734 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$4,549,304 vol
How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?
Statewide caucuses
Special convention
$20,965 vol
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026?
0
1
$389,689 vol
Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?
$762,503 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12)
July 6
July 12
$14,257 vol
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?
Jensen Huang
Delcy Rodriguez
$61,120 vol
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
$12,833 vol
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
$805,838 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,488,396 vol
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
Thom Tillis
Bill Cassidy
$65,229 vol
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (6/28 - 7/4)
Above 0
Above 1
$88,798 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$2,808,158 vol
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?
$24,404 vol