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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$38,871,051 vol
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
Germany
Israel
$892,846 vol
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Jun 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$1,251,396 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,488,396 vol
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2026
$10,278 vol
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$30,273 vol
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
$223,886 vol
Will China abolish birth limits?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$2,522 vol
Will China abolish hukou?
Before 2029
Before 2030
$2,434 vol
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
$6,856,690 vol
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
Argentina
Kenya
$1,962 vol
Will the US acquire any new territory?
Before Jan 21, 2029
Before Jan 2028
$600,369 vol
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2029
$502,055 vol
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Colombia
Lebanon
$649,962 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$979 vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
$65,910 vol
Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?
$1,119,858 vol
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
$113,252 vol
Lisa Cook departure announced?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jan 2027
$81,515 vol
Will China unban Bitcoin?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$451 vol
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Christopher Luxon
Benjamin Netanyahu
$6,204,651 vol
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
$1,354,711 vol
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2027
$64,732 vol
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2027
$329,734 vol
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
$32,968 vol
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
$1,097,982 vol
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet?
Switzerland
Hungary
$45,033 vol
Will Trump visit Greenland?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2027
$169 vol
Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?
$29,417 vol
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2027
$46,508 vol
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
Mexico
Qatar
$150,691 vol
EU loses a member before 2030?
$52,229 vol